Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.488280 2.880385 3.322596 3.859902 4.497310 5.231999 6.146802
2025-02-23 1.909311 2.421916 3.063083 3.931292 5.087448 6.589776 8.715343
2025-03-02 1.569326 2.111838 2.837848 3.894590 5.417014 7.567424 10.900557
2025-03-09 1.369119 1.932204 2.728209 3.957886 5.850030 8.719312 13.533138
2025-03-16 1.194169 1.752654 2.578856 3.920572 6.104028 9.624188 15.954948
2025-03-23 1.061913 1.612924 2.461326 3.901724 6.366927 10.569450 18.629315
2025-03-30 0.943354 1.476241 2.325932 3.826259 6.512064 11.327055 21.121004
2025-04-06 0.870737 1.402301 2.279026 3.887506 6.897240 12.570266 24.815073
2025-04-13 0.783614 1.293125 2.158041 3.797926 6.986448 13.266066 27.552592
2025-04-20 0.745114 1.261723 2.165955 3.941875 7.541024 14.976898 32.906590
2025-04-27 0.688142 1.191066 2.094636 3.923808 7.766412 16.044687 37.060116
2025-05-04 0.656704 1.162734 2.096897 4.048893 8.307815 17.901166 43.644173
2025-05-11 0.609952 1.108062 2.056425 4.111375 8.795584 19.910612 51.761222
2025-05-18 0.567317 1.057847 2.021637 4.189484 9.360827 22.321005 62.152027
2025-05-25 0.518915 0.989710 1.940402 4.149986 9.637231 24.078221 71.373785
2025-06-01 0.486140 0.948710 1.909227 4.217993 10.195450 26.752599 84.767332
2025-06-08 0.448283 0.892492 1.837674 4.177902 10.465266 28.699522 96.643065
2025-06-15 0.416266 0.844835 1.778478 4.157653 10.785550 30.900532 110.617208
2025-06-22 0.383500 0.791829 1.700383 4.076586 10.918004 32.564768 123.413403
2025-06-29 0.363734 0.765350 1.680055 4.142379 11.497947 35.892973 145.217997
2025-07-06 0.335987 0.717814 1.603996 4.046154 11.564998 37.490127 160.232551
2025-07-13 0.325114 0.707966 1.617838 4.200790 12.464813 42.420295 194.776927
2025-07-20 0.305758 0.676076 1.573089 4.181379 12.792021 45.314466 220.918393